|
|
DOI: 10.46698/VNC.2021.13.6.009
POPULATION INCOME DYNAMICS AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE NORTH CAUCASIAN FEDERAL DISTRICT
Kulova Margarita, R. , Ivanova Ekaterina, Y. , Itarova Tatiana, Y.
Kavkaz Forum. 2021. Issue 6.
Abstract:
The article discusses the features of the relationship, inertia and variability of
the dynamics of household income and gross regional product indicators in the
subjects of the North Caucasian Federal District. In the context of the stagnation of
the Russian economy in recent years, the problem of the growth of GRP and income
of the population in the depressed regions of the North Caucasus is of particular
importance. The authors’ correlation analysis of the population’s income and the
gross regional product for 2000-2018 according to Pearson method revealed that,
in contrast to the Russian regions as a whole with their rather strong relationship
between the gross regional product and the population’s income, there was a very
significant discrepancy in the correlation coefficients in the regions of the North
Caucasus.
In particular, in North Ossetia, during 2011-2015, economic growth and
income of the population were in a state of weakened mutual dependence, and
already in 2015-2018, this link became almost perfect, when the correlation
coefficient reached 0.99. Sharp changes in the close relationship between GRP
and income of the population occurred in Dagestan, Karachay-Cherkessia, while
the relatively stable dynamics of the correlation coefficients of GRP with income
was characteristic of Ingushetia. In Kabardino-Balkaria and Stavropol Krai, where
low and negative values of correlation coefficients were noted, the dynamics of
household income and economic growth showed either a weak relationship or an
inverse relationship, when an increase in one variable leads to a decrease in the
other. In general, the divergence of the dynamics of the gross regional product and
income indicators in the regions of the NCFD reflects the inefficiency of economic
policy and the need for a more differentiated approach to individual territories of
the macroregion.
Keywords: economic growth, gross regional product, income, region, North Caucasian Federal District.
+ References1. Easterlin, R.A. Does Economic Growth Improve the Human Lot? Some
Empirical Evidence. David, R. & Reder, R. (eds.) Nations and Households in
Economic Growth. New York, 1974, pp. 89–125.
2. Kulova, M.R., Kanukova, Z.V., Gadieva, A.H., Fedosova, E.V. Social Well-being
in System of Traditions and Innovations. Advances in social science, education
and humanities research. Proceedings of the International Conference. Topical
Problems of Philology and Didactics: Interdisciplinary Approach in Humanities
and Social Sciences. Dushanbe, 2019, pp. 219–223.
3. Rudakova, O.V., Lygina, N.I., Kryukova, O.A. Dokhody naseleniya v sisteme
ekonomicheskogo rosta [Income of the population in the system of economic
growth]. Srednerusskii vestnik obshchestvennykh nauk [Central Russian Bulletin
of Social Sciences]. 2017, no. 6, pp. 219–230.
4. Savalei, V.V. Valovoi regional’nyi produkt kak indikator effektivnosti i urovnya
razvitiya territorial’noi ekonomiki [Gross regional product as an indicator of the
efficiency and level of development of the territorial economy]. Territoriya
novykh vozmozhnostei [Territory of new opportunities]. 2017, no. 2 (37), pp.
31–43.
5. Kudymov, V.M. Vzaimosvyaz’ sotsial’no-ekonomicheskikh protsessov
s pokazatelem valovogo regional’nogo produkta [The relationship of socioeconomic
processes with the indicator of the gross regional product].
Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika [Economic analysis: theory and
practice]. 2007, no. 24, pp. 37–47.
6. Goncharova, K.S. Analiz sistemy vzaimosvyazi dinamiki differentsiatsii
dokhodov naseleniya i ekonomicheskogo rosta v regionakh Rossii [Analysis of
the system of interrelation between the dynamics of income differentiation
and economic growth in the regions of Russia]. Vestnik Chelyabinskogo
gosudarstvennogo universitetа [Bulletin of the Chelyabinsk State University].
2019, no.11, pp.48–60.
7. Yusupov, K.N., Toktamysheva, Yu.S., Yangirov, A.V., Akhunov, R.R. Strategiya
ekonomicheskogo rosta na osnove dinamiki valovogo vnutrennego produkta
[Strategy of economic growth based on the dynamics of gross domestic
product]. Ekonomika regiona [Economy of the region]. 2019, no. 1, pp.151–161.
8. Stukalenko, E.A., Shchekoldin, V.Yu., Kashirskaya, E.V. Otsenka
mezhregional’nogo neravenstva po dokhodam i VRP na dushu naseleniya v Rossii
v nachale XXI v. [Assessment of interregional income inequality and GRP per
capita in Russia at the beginning of the XXI century]. Vestnik OmGU. Seriya:
Ekonomika [Bulletin of the Omsk State University. Series: Economics]. 2017, no.
4, pp. 193–205.
9. Stiglits, Dz. Tsena neravenstva. Chem rassloenie obshchestva grozit
nashemu budushchemu [The price of inequality. How the stratification of
society threatens our future]. Moscow, Eksmo, 2015. 52 p.
← Contents of issue
|
